JTWC最新一報：FAIR了！
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.3N
152.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.2N 151.5E, APPROXIMATELY 75 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVING
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING WAVE IN THE EASTERLIES AND
SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS UNDER THE CONVECTION HINTING AT A LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW GIVING THE SYSTEM
POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
FAIR.
92w和90w為POOR擾動 AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.9N 140.7E,
APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND
INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICT CONSOLIDATING MID-LEVEL CONVECTION AND A
101132Z ASCAT PASS REVEALED 20-KNOT UNFLAGGED WINDS WRAPPING INTO A
POORLY ORGANIZED AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS UNDER MINIMAL WIND SHEAR AS IT IS
NEARING AN AXIS OF THE UPPER-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS POOR.
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.6N 130.8E,
APPROXIMATELY 575 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED INFRARED
IMAGERY SHOWS CONSOLIDATING, DEEP CONVECTION WITH GOOD MID-LEVEL
TURNING. THE SYSTEM IS ALSO SITUATED UNDER AN ANTICYCLONE ALOFT AND
IS STARTING TO SHOW SOME POLEWARD OUTFLOW INTO A TROPICAL UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH TO THE NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
