THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.4N
115.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 115.0E, APPROXIMATELY 355 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOW WEAK CONVECTION BUT RELATIVELY GOOD MID-LEVEL TURNING. SHIP
OBSERVATIONS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA INDICATE THE EXISTENCE OF A
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH ACCOMPANIED
BY A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURES RANGING FROM 1000 TO 1004 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. DUE TO
UNFAVORABLE NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS POOR.
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