AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 25.1N 122.3E,
APPROXIMATELY 45 NM EAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING DEEP CONVECTION AND WHAT APPEARS
TO BE A MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEASTERN TAIWAN. A PARTIAL
240120Z ASCAT PASS INDICATES BROAD LOW LEVEL TURNING OVER NORTHERN
TAIWAN (10 TO 15 KNOTS), HOWEVER RADAR IMAGERY FROM TAIWAN AND AN
OBSERVATION AT 24.5N 122.8E (NORTHERLY WINDS AT 30 KNOTS WITH A 2 MB
PRESSURE DROP OVER 24 HOURS) INDICATE THAT A LOW LEVEL CENTER MAY
EXIST SLIGHTLY EAST OF TAIWAN. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THIS
POSSIBLE LLCC IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE (20 TO 25 KNOTS)
NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.