JTWC最新一報:剛升FAIR了
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.7N
133.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 128.8E, APPROXIMATELY 485 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
IMAGERY DEPICTS INCREASED ORGANIZATION IN A MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION
THAT IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP TO THE SURFACE. THE LOW LEVEL REMAINS A
BROAD REGION OF TROUGHING BUT HAS SEEN CONTINUED ORGANIZATION OVER
THE PAST 12 HOURS. CONVECTION HAS REMAINED PERSISTENT OVER THE PAST
24 HOURS BUT HAS SEEN A DECREASE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH UPPER
LEVEL WARMING OF CLOUD TOPS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS IN A REGION OF DIFLUENCE WITH
INCREASING OUTFLOW TO THE EAST ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH THAT IS TRACKING WESTWARD TOWARDS THE LLCC. SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
FAIR.
99W雲圖
LLCC外露的情況改善了~
加上一張風切~
東邊風切增強，但南海北部情況改善~
但渦度仍然較淺
來張西太雲圖~（好多的跟班啊~）
[
本帖最後由 jeffreyjin10 於 2009-7-8 14:26 編輯 ]
