THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.4N
168.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 168.1E, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTH
OF KWAJALEIN. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A
SLIGHT DECREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER A REGION OF
SURFACE TROUGHING. A 140210Z AMSR-E PASS INDICATES THAT A LLCC IS
DEVELOPING WITHIN THE TROUGH, AS EVIDENT BY THE CURVED INFLOW
VISIBLE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS
GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW FROM THE LLCC INTO A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC
TROUGH (TUTT) LOCATED NORTH OF THE LLCC WITH LOW VWS. THE TUTT HAS
BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY NEAR 20N 160E AND WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE A
POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL FOR THE SYSTEM IN THE NEAR TERM. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS
REMAINS FAIR.
JTWC持續FAIR等級
而另一個還未被NRL編號的擾動(14.3N 177.8E)
JTWC也直接升格為FAIR(不太像JTWC的風格)
所以目前西太擾動應該有4個
哇!!還是如此的熱鬧
只是都是堆看似水貨的傢伙...
(西太竟然被東太颱風數目給超過了...
好過份喔!!
)
